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  • G David Bock
    replied
    Originally posted by Nick the Noodle View Post

    Hopefully my last post here .

    Sorry for the very late reply. Went on a sabbatical from here, and missed this sprung trap I laid.

    I have not made any point with that link, as any true scientist would have known. You need at least 400 samples, preferably a 1000, to have a reasonable confidence level concerning any statistical analysis. 10 does not cut the mustard. Anyone who has read my posts knows that I have always said a sample of 1000+ is required.

    The fact that you think that a sample size of 10 proves a point more than suggests this area of study is a real weakness of yours, but easily addressed .
    Strongly doubt this will be your last post on this subject.
    To date you have shown to be a die-hard, true-believer in ACC-AGW.

    Problem one is that humans haven't records back far enough to track more than a few hundred at best of hurricanes, let alone "thousands".
    Problem two is that Pirate-Drakk is a scientist and you aren't, FWIW.

    Leave a comment:


  • Nick the Noodle
    replied
    Originally posted by Pirate-Drakk View Post

    Nice link Nick!


    Thanks for making my point. The two worst storms in terms of death toll were in 1900 and 1780. Considering the fact that the population density was much lower back then, those storms must have been immense.
    Hopefully my last post here .

    Sorry for the very late reply. Went on a sabbatical from here, and missed this sprung trap I laid.

    I have not made any point with that link, as any true scientist would have known. You need at least 400 samples, preferably a 1000, to have a reasonable confidence level concerning any statistical analysis. 10 does not cut the mustard. Anyone who has read my posts knows that I have always said a sample of 1000+ is required.

    The fact that you think that a sample size of 10 proves a point more than suggests this area of study is a real weakness of yours, but easily addressed .

    Leave a comment:


  • Nick the Noodle
    replied
    Originally posted by G David Bock View Post



    Penultimate post here .

    Hook, line and sinker .

    Leave a comment:


  • G David Bock
    replied
    As could be expected, the article is full of hubris and implications this is all the fault of humans ...

    New research shows the world’s ice is doing something not seen before
    https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/to...3CR?li=BBnb7Kz

    Leave a comment:


  • G David Bock
    replied
    Arctic Ocean almost totally ice-covered – Map

    n the 26th of June! Where’s that (so-called) global warming?

    Look at this map.
    • Purple signifies sea-ice thickness of approximately ½ to 1½ meters (20 inches to 5 ft).
    • Blue or green signifies 1½ to 3 meters ( 5 ft to 10 ft) of ice.
    • Yellow or orange signifies 3 to 4 meters (10 ft to 13 ft) of ice.
    • Red signifies 4 to 5 meters (13 ft to 16 ft) of ice.
    • White signifies zero thickness of ice.

    I don’t see much open water. Do you?
    ...
    https://www.iceagenow.info/arctic-oc...e-covered-map/

    Leave a comment:


  • G David Bock
    replied
    Another possible "idiot" writer, so presented more for "balance" to illustrate the extremes that pro-ACC/AGW propagandists will go to;

    What happened last time it was as warm as it’s going to get later this century?
    https://arstechnica.com/science/2018...ing-something/

    Leave a comment:


  • T. A. Gardner
    replied
    Originally posted by G David Bock View Post
    OR:

    Climate Change Killed the Aliens, and It Will Probably Kill Us Too, New Simulation Suggests
    By Brandon Specktor, Senior Writer | June 6, 2018 07:18am ET
    https://www.livescience.com/62750-cl...er-island.html

    I read this article... This guy's an idiot. He discusses Easter Island and how the depletion of resources caused the collapse of that civilization, then somehow turns that into climate change. It wasn't a changing climate but the overpopulation and lack of resources that caused Easter Island to fail. The Maya are much the same, although there is some evidence that a drought period also had an effect. The same goes for the Anasazi of the US Southwest.

    But, none of these early civilizations had much in the way of ability to recognize and deal with the changes they were facing. For instance, today we could be producing far more energy than we are if we'd gone down the nuclear path wholeheartedly. That massive amount more energy could have led to other changes such as desalination being cost effective, as one example.

    So, a big part of the problem is when you model this stuff in only one way rather than take a diverse approach to the issue.

    For example, what if the Easter Island people had practiced human sacrifice and used that (unknowingly) to control population growth and keep the population manageable for the resources available?

    If anything, drought and desertification has had a far greater impact on most ancient civilizations than a couple of degrees change in the planet's temperature. I'd further suggest that a major asteroid strike, or mass vulcanization would have more impact than climate change does on our survival.

    Then there's the unknowns of other potential alien civilizations. What if Mars were more Earth sized and had a large moon or moons? That is, it is a habitable, if cooler, Earth. All of a sudden there's an impetus to go into space when one or both worlds discover a way to do that. What if both have intelligent life on them that is different, even possibly radically so? Same thing. Climate won't drive that situation. The writer of the above article is an idiot.

    Leave a comment:


  • G David Bock
    replied
    Originally posted by G David Bock View Post
    How Do Aliens Solve Climate Change?

    Scientists recently modeled a range of interactions between energy-intensive civilizations and their planets. The results were sobering.
    https://www.theatlantic.com/science/...change/561479/

    Perhaps to be expected from a Left leaning publication. Amazing how this modern equivalent of "flat Earth" keeps getting spun in odd directions.
    OR:

    Climate Change Killed the Aliens, and It Will Probably Kill Us Too, New Simulation Suggests
    By Brandon Specktor, Senior Writer | June 6, 2018 07:18am ET
    https://www.livescience.com/62750-cl...er-island.html

    Last edited by G David Bock; 10 Jun 18, 15:50.

    Leave a comment:


  • Pirate-Drakk
    replied
    Originally posted by G David Bock View Post
    How Do Aliens Solve Climate Change?
    Basically the problem is too many people. The price of civilizations success.

    If we keep breeding like vermin, we will all die when all the land and resources are used up.

    War, famine, and death on a grand scale. Who needs birth control when we can breed indiscriminately?

    Leave a comment:


  • G David Bock
    replied
    How Do Aliens Solve Climate Change?

    Scientists recently modeled a range of interactions between energy-intensive civilizations and their planets. The results were sobering.
    https://www.theatlantic.com/science/...change/561479/

    Perhaps to be expected from a Left leaning publication. Amazing how this modern equivalent of "flat Earth" keeps getting spun in odd directions.

    Leave a comment:


  • The Exorcist
    replied
    Originally posted by wolfhnd View Post
    Nothing embarrasses the IPPC "scientists"?
    No, there is too much money on the table.

    Leave a comment:


  • wolfhnd
    replied
    Nothing embarrasses the IPPC "scientists"?

    Leave a comment:


  • T. A. Gardner
    replied
    And from Nick's site this related article...

    https://science.howstuffworks.com/na...increasing.htm

    They basically say the jury's out on hurricane intensity. I for one, don't buy anything the IPCC has to say on climate change or Gorebal Warming. They have a track record that is nearly 100% wrong. A group of psychics and palm readers could give you better predictions than the IPCC.

    Leave a comment:


  • G David Bock
    replied
    Originally posted by Pirate-Drakk View Post
    Nice link Nick!


    Thanks for making my point. The two worst storms in terms of death toll were in 1900 and 1780. Considering the fact that the population density was much lower back then, those storms must have been immense.


    Leave a comment:


  • Pirate-Drakk
    replied
    Nice link Nick!


    Thanks for making my point. The two worst storms in terms of death toll were in 1900 and 1780. Considering the fact that the population density was much lower back then, those storms must have been immense.

    Leave a comment:

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