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Is it possible to set up a system for learning from history that actually learns

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  • Is it possible to set up a system for learning from history that actually learns

    Since we have some actual historians on the site, I thought this might be interesting.

    The question becomes, is it possible to set up a system for learning from history that's not simply programmed to avoid the most recent mistake in a very simple, mechanistic fashion? Is it possible to set up a system for learning from history that actually learns in our sophisticated way that manages to bring down both false positive and false negatives to some degree? That's a big question mark.
    Video and transcript here - http://edge.org/conversation/win-at-forecasting
    Any metaphor will tear if stretched over too much reality.

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  • #2
    Problem is "history" can be very subjective.


    The Founding Father/Rebel Colonists freed the country/stole the colonies.
    Hyperwar: World War II on the World Wide Web
    Hyperwar, Whats New
    World War II Resources
    The best place in the world to "work".

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    • #3
      I would say the hardest aspect would be the aspect of 20/20 hindsight will almost always conflict with the emotionally high mind of a populace - Ultra-Patriotism after 9/11, Weimer Republic, Conn School Shooting.

      many of the riots and revolutions in the middle east could have been better aided and handled, however the population was emotionally high and wanted a definite short term solution.
      God didnít create evil. Evil is the result of when man does not have God's love in his heart.It's the cold when there is no heat.The darkness that comes when there is no light

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      • #4
        History tells us more about our current attitudes than about the events under discussion.
        Hyperwar: World War II on the World Wide Web
        Hyperwar, Whats New
        World War II Resources
        The best place in the world to "work".

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        • #5
          As a retired history instructor and presently an adjunct history instructor I have to ask what system would you prefer? History is a self taught science and once you have the basic skills in place (and not all skills learned in history) it is up to the student to learn.

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          • #6
            Originally posted by GCoyote View Post
            Since we have some actual historians on the site, I thought this might be interesting.



            Video and transcript here - http://edge.org/conversation/win-at-forecasting
            Only if you remove humans from the equation. Our memories are programmed to re-write and censor our history in favor of "good" things, while deleting the "bad" things.

            And we are nowhere near honest enough to evaluate history in a completely objective fashion, since we are not in the least logical beings to begin with, but rather beings constructed to rationalize and justify our own actions while vilifying those of others.
            Quis Custodiet Ipsos Custodes? Who is watching the watchers?

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            • #7
              The problem is that we do learn from history, but there's always someone who comes into power that proudly makes us forget.

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              • #8
                Originally posted by Mountain Man View Post
                [FONT=Comic Sans MS][SIZE=3]Only if you remove humans from the equation.
                If only we could. The problem is that when you take humans out of the equation, you no longer have history, but evolution.
                Conservatives in the U.S. won't be happy until Jim Crow returns and "White Heterosexual Only" signs are legalized.

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