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Franco loses in Spain.

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  • Bwaha
    replied
    If you look at the rail network you'd see the difficulty in invading spain...


    There's only two lines and I'd bet they could be blown up with not much of a problem...

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  • grishnak
    replied
    Britain would be bound to intervene,an Axis Iberian peninsula and North African holdings would have been a disaster for the UK war effort.The Med sealed and greater range into the Atlantic for subs and aircraft would have been very hard to bear.

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  • T. A. Gardner
    replied
    Or, the Germans begin early on arming, training, and equipping a Spanish force (from ex pats who left with Franco) and maybe adding in Italian Blackshirts for numbers in anticipation of taking back Spain. (Spanish SS for example)
    Add in possibly equipping some units post fall of France with French equipment...

    It would be interesting. Would the British try to send support? Another "Peninsular campaign" like Napoleon had?

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  • grishnak
    replied
    A Republican victory would not necessarily have led to a Communist takeover ,but if it did Spain would have remained neutral,as was Comintern policy, until Barbarossa and then have joined the allied side.Hitler would have been unlikely to move against Spain until his pact with Russia was broken.June 41 becomes interesting though,simultaneous invasions would considerably weaken Barbarossa and be ill afforded.Perhapse he might leave the southern front to develop on its own in the hope that a Spanish incursion would bring Vichy in on the German side,with Rommel waiting in the wings.

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  • Pruitt
    replied
    I would say the chances are Hitler would want to take Spain and Portugal out first. Stalin would have no problem sacrificing them so he can buy more time to rearm. An invasion of Spain and Portugal would be difficult as there are few railroads crossing the Pyrenees. German troops rely on rails to transport their supply.

    Pruitt

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  • T. A. Gardner
    started a topic Franco loses in Spain.

    Franco loses in Spain.

    Pick a reason. That part really doesn't matter and it is possible the Republicans might have won that civil war. In this case, they did.

    Franco and many of his supporters flee the country as the Communists take control in short order followed by a purge of "undesirables." A Communist government also gets "elected" in Portugal.

    With the Iberian peninsula now firmly in Communist hands and friendly to Moscow, they begin to rebuild the country.

    In 1939 Hitler still moves against Poland and the R-M treaty is still in place. In the next year, Hitler takes Norway, Denmark, the Netherlands, Belgium, and of course, France.

    What would he do next? Invade Spain as it represents a potential threat to his plans with Russia? Set up a defensive line? Would Spain / Portugal enter the war on the Allied side once the Soviet Union is attacked?

    Lots of possibilities here.

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