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Possible scenario; things go south with the PRC

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  • Possible scenario; things go south with the PRC

    For you reading pleasure, or not, this is part of an unclassified paper that I wrote detailing possible UAV support for the US Navy Electro-Magnetic Rail Gun in a scenario in which the PRC makes an hostile take-over bid for Taiwan. I hope that you enjoy, and find it food for thought; For those of you that do not like it, constructive comments are welcome, America bashing is not!

    During recent military drawdown’s, the country greatly reduced the size of its forces even though national commitments were never truly condensed. The current level of commitment in Iraq and Afghanistan, and the Global War on Terror keep the resources of the United States Armed Forces deeply entangled in long term operations.

    Additionally, the relations with the People’s Republic of China were dealt a severe blow by the current administration’s protectionist policies. Ushered into office on a mandate that dictated the protection of American moral property, business interests, and jobs, heavy tariffs were imposed on Chinese manufactured goods that were intended to make up the gap created by artificially low value of the Chinese Yuan and to punish China for its inability to curb the piracy of American moral property within its borders.

    The protectionist measures enacted by the United States were quickly emulated by the remaining G7 countries, and many other growing economies around the world such as the Republic of Korea, and India. The result was that the PRC was thrown into an economic tail spin; factories shut down, millions of Chinese workers lost their jobs, and the country’s noveau rich found themselves standing in soup lines.

    The economic situation was further exacerbated by China’s total disregard for its own environment that allowed vast tracts of arable land to be overtaken by the ever expanding Gobi Desert or to be submerged by the Three Gorges Dam.

    This situation, coupled with the large numbers of Chinese that had given up agriculture in favor of urban manufacturing jobs, left China short of money and unable to feed itself; large riots broke out in many major Chinese cities. China’s Communist administration was finally able to quell the food riots that ensued in the wake of the economic crisis, but only after hundreds of thousands of Chinese were either killed or sent to the gulags.

    With the remaining population barely under control and within inches of a civil war, the hard-line Communists resorted to the last card of all despots in similar situations, they sought something that would divert the attention of the population from the problems at hand and fixed the sights of their political propaganda machine on Taiwan, making it clear that the “break-away province” had to return to the fold while blaming China’s economic woes on the United States.

    Taiwan had long been an object of contention between China and the United States. The unstable political situation made it almost inevitable that Taiwan would come to the forefront; its prosperity and robust economy, coupled with its close proximity to the ailing Chinese mainland virtually guaranteed that it would become the focus of attention.

    It was at this time that the Defense Intelligence Agency started to notice an increase in communications traffic focusing on Taiwan. Additionally, satellite passes over Chinese military bases in the area showed a marked boost in activity.

    Finally, given all the indicators and warnings, the Director of Central Intelligence had no choice but to warn the President that the Chinese were preparing to invade Taiwan. With a reduced US Navy as the only military force that could get in the way of the Communist Chinese military juggernaut in the short term, the take over of Taiwan by the mainland Communists seemed a foregone conclusion.

    The US Navy had shrunk in the years since the Bush administration, but still remained a formidable force that had begun to modernize its fleet with the new Zumwalt class destroyers, which were equipped with the new Electro-Magnetic Rail Guns (EMRG). Two of these ships, the USS David Dixon Porter (DDG-1002) and the USS John Basilone (DDG-1005) were assigned to the US Seventh Fleet.

    These powerful ships were instructed to cut short their scheduled Tender Availability, and promptly sortied from Yokosuka as a display of US support for Taiwan, while the remainder of the USS George Washington Carrier Strike Group was detached from the RIMPAC exercise in progress as a further show of US determination. Unfortunately, it would take these ships at least a week to transit to the Taiwan Straits to join the two destroyers.

    China’s Communist leadership decided to act before the remaining US ships could arrive, and any other American assets could be brought on the scene to defend Taiwan; jammers were activated to disrupt American communications, radars, and GPS in the area. Luckily, a well placed agent within the ranks of the People’s Liberation Army Navy was able to report that the Chinese were getting ready to sortie their improved Kilo class diesel-electric submarines with the intention of bottling up access to the Taiwan Straits so that the US Navy would not be able to get in the way of Chinese amphibious assault ships on their way to Taiwan.

    US Air Force RQ-35 unmanned aircraft systems based out of Kadena Air Force Base in Okinawa were dispatched to the vicinity of the Kilo’s East Sea Fleet base at Zhoushan, Zhejiang. Concurrently, a Marine Reconnaissance Company from the 1st Reconnaissance Battalion forward deployed to Okinawa was promptly flown to Taiwan as a visible sign of support, and to deal with any possible Chinese Special Operations Forces incursions.

    The RQ-35s were able to determine that the submarines were still in port but were on-loading weapons and were obviously getting ready to set sail. One of the RQ-35s was able to feed targeting data to the Porter and the Basilone, who were in turn able to confirm to the National Command Authority (NCA) that they could destroy the six submarines home-ported at Zhoushan while they were still tied to the pier, while they were steaming safely out of Chinese territorial waters and out of range of Chinese strike aircraft and missiles.
    The NCA acted decisively and the ships were given permission to fire less than fifteen minutes later. The two destroyers, which were by now stationed approximately fifty nautical miles due East of the coast of Taiwan, slowed a minimum headway of barely four knots. Making use of their IPS (Integrated Power Systems), both ships diverted power to their rail guns, as plotting teams in their respective Combat Information Centers used the Cursor-on-Target (COT) information that had been generated by the RQ-35s to calculate fire control solutions to their targets.

    Due to the urgency of the mission the ships did not fire spotting rounds, but rather fired three rounds each at the unsuspecting Kilos as the RQ-35s trained laser designators onto the unsuspecting victims. All six highly dangerous submarines were reduced to useless hulks in less than 15 minutes by ERGM (Extended Range Guided Munitions) rounds that impacted their targets at a speed of Mach-5, completely surprising the Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN).

    Additionally, one of the RQ-35s spied four heavy lift PLAN Zubr class LCACs (Landing Craft Air Cushion hovercrafts) within twelve nautical miles of the North-Eastern coast of Taiwan. The Marine Recon Company was immediately placed aboard Taiwanese helicopters and airlifted to the only possible landing area. The Marines arrived on the scene as the Chinese Forces were attempting to debark from the hovercrafts.

    The Marines were able to successfully pin in place the Chinese Marines and Special Operations Forces, and requested gunfire support from the two destroyers. Four well placed rounds from the Basilone and the Porter shattered the Chinese hovercrafts as they were still disgorging men and equipment on the beach. When the surviving Chinese soldiers saw that most of their comrades and support equipment were destroyed, they surrendered to the Marines and were subsequently turned over to the Taiwanese Army.
    Give me a fast ship and the wind at my back for I intend to sail in harms way! (John Paul Jones)

    Initiated Chief Petty Officer
    Hard core! Old School! Deal with it!

  • #2
    Interesting and certainly possible scenario, however, if I was the US Navy or the US for that matter, I'd want more than two if these DDR's before I start taking out the PLAN in it's homeports. That is a blatant act of war. Now the strike on the Chicom Raiding Party that I can see. It would have the shock effect and be within we are defending an Ally rules. Also food for thought, it is likely the KILO's would have sortied long ago anyway if China were preparing to go to war. AND Their other problem will be these SEE LINK, When dealing with PLAN scenarios think out of the Blue Water Navy Box. They certainly do.

    China Mine Threat

    Eternal War(gaming) Armoured Struggle Car Bob

    History does not record anywhere at any time a religion that has any rational basis.
    Lazarus Long

    Draw the blinds on yesterday and it's all so much scarier....
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