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Looks like Clinton's "debate bounce" has finally arrived.

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  • Looks like Clinton's "debate bounce" has finally arrived.

    Clinton now has a 3.8 point lead over trump at RealClearPolitics, which is about where Obama had Romney before Obama's disastrous 1st debate. There wasn't a lot of polling directly in the aftermath of the 1st debate.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...nton-5491.html

    For those of you keeping score at home, Obama led Romney by .8 (on average) when the last polls were taken in 2012.

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...ex_cid=rrpromo

    Clinton has about a 3.5 state cushion at FiveThirtyEight: Colorado, Nevada, Florida and NorthCarolina. (In order of "blueness." I.e. Colorado is solidly blue. If nothing else changed and Clinton were to lose Florida, Nevada, North Carolina AND Ohio, she still wins. She is currently trailing in Ohio.)

    The Iowa electronic market favors Clinton by about 30 points.

    https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/pricehi...ry_GetData.cfm

    For those of you that are in panic mode about a Clinton victory, it might be time to start panicking.
    "I just start kissing them. It's like a magnet. I just kiss. I don't even wait. You can do anything... Grab them by the [redacted]. You can do anything."
    -The President of the United States of America.

  • #2
    More like a "dying twitch" than any sort or "bounce".

    If anyone can actually watch her and turn away in total revulsion for what she is, they need serious mental help.
    Quis Custodiet Ipsos Custodes? Who is watching the watchers?

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    • #3
      Originally posted by Mountain Man View Post
      [FONT=Lucida Sans Unicode]More like a "dying twitch" than any sort or "bounce".
      Her lead is widening.

      She's up +4.5 at RCP, her biggest lead since August.

      50 point favorite at the Iowa Electronic Market.

      80% chance to win according to FiveThirtyEight.

      If anyone can actually watch her and turn away in total revulsion for what she is, they need serious mental help.
      This is not a choice between the lesser of two evils. Clinton is way, way, way better than the Chump.

      Even San Diego's largest newspaper, the San Diego Union Tribune, who haven't endorsed a democrat in 148 years, is endorsing Clinton. They lay out clear arguments why Clinton is a better candidate.

      The amount of "revulsion" that Trump is generating, even within his own party, is unprecedented for a presidential candidate.
      "I just start kissing them. It's like a magnet. I just kiss. I don't even wait. You can do anything... Grab them by the [redacted]. You can do anything."
      -The President of the United States of America.

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      • #4
        https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...ump/?tid=sm_tw

        Independents breaking for Clinton.

        The big reason she's extended her lead: Independent voters. In the Q poll conducted Sept. 22-25, Trump led them by 7 points, 42-35, and in a poll two weeks prior, he led them by 5.
        But in the new poll, conducted Monday through Wednesday of this week, Clinton has asserted a 14-point lead among this previously Trump-friendly group, 46-32.
        Florida Hispanics are going for Clinton by 30 points.

        Clinton’s 58-28 percent lead is a net 6-point shift in her favor since Univision polled the presidential race last month with Florida Latinos. Her 30-point margin compares to President Obama’s final 21-point spread in his historic rout of Republican Mitt Romney among Florida Latinos, according to exit polls at the end of the 2012 election.
        She is supposedly running even with the Cuban immigrant vote.

        http://www.politico.com/states/flori...no-poll-106183
        Homo homini lupus

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        • #5
          Wait until the impact of that audio hits the polls. Trump is going to have to do insanely well in the next debate just to stabilise.
          Human beings are the only creatures on Earth that claim a god and the only living thing that behaves like it hasn't got one - Hunter S. Thompson

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          • #6
            Interesting side bar from Politico:

            http://www.politico.com/story/2016/1...sconsin-229307

            Well, now Paul Ryan is in a real pickle.
            The speaker of the House — who has prided himself on his homespun, wholesome, family man persona — is scheduled to host Donald Trump in his Wisconsin district less than 24 hours after The Washington Post revealed that the New York City billionaire once suggested that he can kiss and grab women's genitals with impunity because he's famous.

            How does that play in Elkhorn, Wisconsin?
            We might find out Satuday. Trump is scheduled to appear alongside Ryan, who endorsed the GOP nominee, at the Walworth County Fairgrounds in Elkhorn, the heart of Ryan's southern Wisconsin district.
            “The time has come,” the Walrus said,
            “To talk of many things:
            Of shoes—and ships—and sealing-wax—
            Of cabbages—and kings—
            And why the sea is boiling hot—
            And whether pigs have wings.”
            ― Lewis Carroll

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