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Presidential Race: The 3:00 moment.. what is it???

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  • Presidential Race: The 3:00 moment.. what is it???

    Some crisis in the world or here at home????

    Nope, just the GOP nominee sending tweets out about a former Miss Universe telling his followers to:

    Did Crooked Hillary help disgusting (check out sex tape and past) Alicia M become a U.S. citizen so she could use her in the debate?
    Yes the GOP candidate is asking his follows, at 0330 in the morning, to check out a 'sex tape' on the internet.....

    The man is incapable of NOT letting himself be baited into doing exactly what he needs NOT to do....

    My favorite part is his surrogates trying to make hay about how the Clinton campaign set him up with all the pre done interviews etc. OF COURSE SHE SET HIM UP!!!! That was the PLAN!

    And of course he fell for it and he's about to lose another week of the campaign ranting and raving and doing nothing more that demonstrating why the undecideds should not vote for him.

    http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/...w-benghazi-lie

    Gingrich:

    “They clearly had set it up to be triggered at the debate,” he said. "At the last minute, Hillary suddenly realizes she hasn’t gotten it in yet.

    “So you have this total detour to make sure she has gotten the story planted so all that all the news media that are lined up — all of it’s embargoed, all of it’s sitting there waiting,” Gingrich added.

    “[They’re] quivering, just waiting for Hillary to give them the signal. We all got sucked in at the very last second.”
    “The time has come,” the Walrus said,
    “To talk of many things:
    Of shoes—and ships—and sealing-wax—
    Of cabbages—and kings—
    And why the sea is boiling hot—
    And whether pigs have wings.”
    ― Lewis Carroll

  • #2
    Thank God that's not my problem, it's yours.

    I'm voting for Evan McMullin.

    Have fun with your guy.

    Bye!
    Major James Holden, Georgia Badgers Militia of Rainbow Regiment, American Civil War

    "Aim small, miss small."

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by Cheetah772 View Post
      Thank God that's not my problem, it's yours.

      I'm voting for Evan McMullin.

      Have fun with your guy.

      Bye!
      And who is my guy? And why would I have fun with him?
      “The time has come,” the Walrus said,
      “To talk of many things:
      Of shoes—and ships—and sealing-wax—
      Of cabbages—and kings—
      And why the sea is boiling hot—
      And whether pigs have wings.”
      ― Lewis Carroll

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by Cheetah772 View Post
        Thank God that's not my problem, it's yours.

        I'm voting for Evan McMullin.

        Have fun with your guy.

        Bye!
        By the way, if you live in Maryland that might be a problem:

        https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...ballot-access/

        As of Tuesday, McMullin had missed the deadlines for ballot access in Alabama, Alaska, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Tennessee, Vermont, Washington, Wisconsin and the District of Columbia.
        “The time has come,” the Walrus said,
        “To talk of many things:
        Of shoes—and ships—and sealing-wax—
        Of cabbages—and kings—
        And why the sea is boiling hot—
        And whether pigs have wings.”
        ― Lewis Carroll

        Comment


        • #5
          Oh the horror of it all!!!

          Attached Files
          Watts Up With That? | The world's most viewed site on global warming and climate change.

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Combat Engineer View Post
            By the way, if you live in Maryland that might be a problem:

            https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...ballot-access/
            Damn!!! That will cost him the election!
            Watts Up With That? | The world's most viewed site on global warming and climate change.

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by Cheetah772 View Post
              Thank God that's not my problem, it's yours.

              I'm voting for Evan McMullin.

              Have fun with your guy.

              Bye!
              Cant go wrong with a Mormon^.
              Long live the Lionheart! Please watch this video
              https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_c...&v=jRDwlR4zbEM
              https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3DBaY0RsxU
              Accept the challenges so that you can feel the exhilaration of victory.

              George S Patton

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by Combat Engineer View Post
                Some crisis in the world or here at home????

                Nope, just the GOP nominee sending tweets out about a former Miss Universe telling his followers to:



                Yes the GOP candidate is asking his follows, at 0330 in the morning, to check out a 'sex tape' on the internet.....


                The man is incapable of NOT letting himself be baited into doing exactly what he needs NOT to do....

                My favorite part is his surrogates trying to make hay about how the Clinton campaign set him up with all the pre done interviews etc. OF COURSE SHE SET HIM UP!!!! That was the PLAN!

                And of course he fell for it and he's about to lose another week of the campaign ranting and raving and doing nothing more that demonstrating why the undecideds should not vote for him.

                http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/...w-benghazi-lie

                Gingrich:
                Its like he is digging a deeper and deeper hole to climb out of.
                Long live the Lionheart! Please watch this video
                https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_c...&v=jRDwlR4zbEM
                https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3DBaY0RsxU
                Accept the challenges so that you can feel the exhilaration of victory.

                George S Patton

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by The Doctor View Post
                  Oh the horror of it all!!!

                  Had to search long and hard to find that one poll. Sorry the rest of them are bad news for Trump. Florida, Nevada, Colorado.... NC....

                  Remember how the LA tracking poll is set up. It uses the same people and polls approx 1/7 of that same set once a day. So even now the data only includes 4 days of post debate data. Let alone any data reflecting what has happened afterwards.

                  Of course even that is not the subject of this thread. It's Trumps lack of judgement and his inability to control himself. I noticed you did not mention that lack...
                  “The time has come,” the Walrus said,
                  “To talk of many things:
                  Of shoes—and ships—and sealing-wax—
                  Of cabbages—and kings—
                  And why the sea is boiling hot—
                  And whether pigs have wings.”
                  ― Lewis Carroll

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by The Doctor View Post
                    Damn!!! That will cost him the election!
                    Well it does make it mathematically impossible to win even if he swept the few states he did manage to get on the ballot. He makes my Libertarian party look good as far as chances go.
                    “The time has come,” the Walrus said,
                    “To talk of many things:
                    Of shoes—and ships—and sealing-wax—
                    Of cabbages—and kings—
                    And why the sea is boiling hot—
                    And whether pigs have wings.”
                    ― Lewis Carroll

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by Combat Engineer View Post
                      Had to search long and hard to find that one poll. Sorry the rest of them are bad news for Trump. Florida, Nevada, Colorado.... NC....

                      Remember how the LA tracking poll is set up. It uses the same people and polls approx 1/7 of that same set once a day. So even now the data only includes 4 days of post debate data. Let alone any data reflecting what has happened afterwards.

                      Of course even that is not the subject of this thread. It's Trumps lack of judgement and his inability to control himself. I noticed you did not mention that lack...
                      The fact that Trump has moved up in the only poll which crosses the "debate line" is very relevant to your opinion of Trump's "lack of judgement and his inability to control himself."
                      [T]he trend from LA Times poll still provides useful information, even if the level is off. Before the conventions, the poll had Trump ahead by an average of 2 or 3 percentage points. Trump then got a modest convention bounce in the poll and pulled ahead by 6 or 7 percentage points. But Clinton got a bigger bounce, and she’s been ahead by an average of 1 or 2 percentage points in the poll since the conventions, although it’s been a bit less than that recently, with Trump narrowly leading the poll at times. All of this follows the trend from other polls almost perfectly, as long as you remember that you have to shift things to Clinton by about 6 points.

                      http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...es-poll-alone/

                      Irrespective of whether or not Trump's debate performance and whatever the topic of this thread is, Trump should have lost ground in this poll over the last few days, because each day forward includes one more day of post-debate polling.

                      Regarding Florida, the Mason-Dixon poll has Her Hagness up +4, the pre-debate M-D poll had her up +2.
                      Despite small shifts that have given Clinton a post-debate bump, the race is still very competitive and the outcome will hinge on where and among whom voter turnout is higher.

                      http://www.realclearpolitics.com/doc...ember_2016.pdf

                      A poll taken 1 day later has her lead at +1.

                      The Suffolk poll giving Her Hagness a +6 lead is out of line with every other poll taken in Nevada since July. Unsurprisingly, it over-sampled Democrats, women and minorities and under-sampled men, independents and white voters, relative to the 2012 exit polls.

                      All of the recent North Carolina polls are pre-debate. They range from Trump +5 to Her Hagness +1.

                      All of the recent Colorado polls are pre-debate. They range from Trump +4 to Her Hagness +2.

                      Trump currently leads in the RCP averages in NV, CO and NC. And all four States are well within the margin of error.

                      Whatever Trump did to trigger this latest Beavis and Butthead thread dosn't seem to be having any more effect on the election than the debate did.
                      Watts Up With That? | The world's most viewed site on global warming and climate change.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Combat Engineer View Post
                        Well it does make it mathematically impossible to win even if he swept the few states he did manage to get on the ballot. He makes my Libertarian party look good as far as chances go.
                        The Libertarian Party always looks good on paper. Gary Johnson will probably blow away all Libertarian election records this year. He will probably more than double their previous record popular vote percentage.

                        He's kind of like Marv Throneberry... The best player on the '62 Mets...
                        Watts Up With That? | The world's most viewed site on global warming and climate change.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          What I glean from the Twitter exchange is that Trump goes to work at 0400, while Her Hagness sleeps in till 1000...

                          http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/...-miss-universe

                          Or did it just take her staff six hours to prepare her Twitter replies?
                          Watts Up With That? | The world's most viewed site on global warming and climate change.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by The Doctor View Post
                            The fact that Trump has moved up in the only poll which crosses the "debate line" is very relevant to your opinion of Trump's "lack of judgement and his inability to control himself."
                            [T]he trend from LA Times poll still provides useful information, even if the level is off. Before the conventions, the poll had Trump ahead by an average of 2 or 3 percentage points. Trump then got a modest convention bounce in the poll and pulled ahead by 6 or 7 percentage points. But Clinton got a bigger bounce, and she’s been ahead by an average of 1 or 2 percentage points in the poll since the conventions, although it’s been a bit less than that recently, with Trump narrowly leading the poll at times. All of this follows the trend from other polls almost perfectly, as long as you remember that you have to shift things to Clinton by about 6 points.

                            http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...es-poll-alone/

                            Irrespective of whether or not Trump's debate performance and whatever the topic of this thread is, Trump should have lost ground in this poll over the last few days, because each day forward includes one more day of post-debate polling.

                            Regarding Florida, the Mason-Dixon poll has Her Hagness up +4, the pre-debate M-D poll had her up +2.
                            Despite small shifts that have given Clinton a post-debate bump, the race is still very competitive and the outcome will hinge on where and among whom voter turnout is higher.

                            http://www.realclearpolitics.com/doc...ember_2016.pdf

                            A poll taken 1 day later has her lead at +1.

                            The Suffolk poll giving Her Hagness a +6 lead is out of line with every other poll taken in Nevada since July. Unsurprisingly, it over-sampled Democrats, women and minorities and under-sampled men, independents and white voters, relative to the 2012 exit polls.

                            All of the recent North Carolina polls are pre-debate. They range from Trump +5 to Her Hagness +1.

                            All of the recent Colorado polls are pre-debate. They range from Trump +4 to Her Hagness +2.

                            Trump currently leads in the RCP averages in NV, CO and NC. And all four States are well within the margin of error.

                            Whatever Trump did to trigger this latest Beavis and Butthead thread dosn't seem to be having any more effect on the election than the debate did.
                            Sorry Doc, your theory that if something does not effect a poll it is irrelevant is rather silly. It goes to the heart of a candidates fitness to office in this case. Which is the most important question of the day. I made no mention of any polls what so ever in the OP because that is not the issue.

                            RCP average is slow to put up polls and skips some entirely. Easy way no is to go the the 538 election map and use the forcast map to select a state and view the list of polls near the bottom of the page that opens up.

                            Do so gives us several new polls. PPP has one that survey 6 battle ground states after the debate:

                            http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/p...ates_92916.pdf

                            You complained about the modules that pollsters were using in 212 also. You were wrong then. Now? Who knows, don't discount any of them.

                            Trump had a good 3 week thing going on. He stayed on track and kept relatively focused. The Clinton Campaign baited him, he took it hook line and sinker. By next week he stands to be down a good 4-5 points is my bet. You can afford that in late July or Early August, not so much in the first week of October.
                            “The time has come,” the Walrus said,
                            “To talk of many things:
                            Of shoes—and ships—and sealing-wax—
                            Of cabbages—and kings—
                            And why the sea is boiling hot—
                            And whether pigs have wings.”
                            ― Lewis Carroll

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by The Doctor View Post
                              What I glean from the Twitter exchange is that Trump goes to work at 0400, while Her Hagness sleeps in till 1000...

                              http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/...-miss-universe

                              Or did it just take her staff six hours to prepare her Twitter replies?
                              The time doesn't matter, it's the contents. Maybe they should not let him have his phone until the adults wake up and keep him under control.

                              The fact the Mrs Clinton did not tweet until 1000 hours is a good thing, a very good thing.
                              “The time has come,” the Walrus said,
                              “To talk of many things:
                              Of shoes—and ships—and sealing-wax—
                              Of cabbages—and kings—
                              And why the sea is boiling hot—
                              And whether pigs have wings.”
                              ― Lewis Carroll

                              Comment

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