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If the election were held today...

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  • Persephone
    replied


    Silver: Trump Would Win If Election Were Held Today
    PHILLIP STUCKY | 10:35 AM 09/26/2016
    Statistics site 538, which is operated by Nate Silver, adjusted its projections ahead of the debate Monday, giving the odds to Republican nominee Donald Trump.

    If the election were held today, Trump leads with a 54.9 percent chance of winning the election, according to the site. The win projection stems from Trump winning the key battleground states of Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Nevada. The same projection shows Clinton winning Pennsylvania, Colorado, and Virginia.

    http://dailycaller.com/2016/09/26/si...re-held-today/

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  • G David Bock
    replied
    Trump is headed for a win, says professor who has predicted 30 years of presidential outcomes correctly
    http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politi...9WT?li=BBnb7Kz

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  • PhilipLaos
    replied
    The election is being held today... at least in some states.

    Early voting.


    Philip

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  • The Exorcist
    replied
    Originally posted by The Doctor View Post
    If the election were held today, most voters would be surprised...
    ....
    I had something to say.... but no, can't touch that!

    Leave a comment:


  • The Doctor
    replied
    Originally posted by PhilipLaos View Post
    If the current RCP 'no toss ups' map were to be repeated on election day with the exception of Trump taking Delaware's 3 electoral college votes from Clinton, then the result would be:

    Clinton: 269 votes
    Trump: 269 votes.

    Nobody gets 270. Nobody wins. That would be most interesting.

    What would happen next? The House decides? Could they choose someone other than those two? Who would they choose?


    Philip

    The House decides. Each State's delegation gets 1 vote.

    The Senate would decide the VP by a similar process.
    What happens if no presidential candidate gets 270 Electoral votes?

    If no candidate receives a majority of Electoral votes, the House of Representatives elects the President from the 3 Presidential candidates who received the most Electoral votes. Each state delegation has one vote. The Senate would elect the Vice President from the 2 Vice Presidential candidates with the most Electoral votes. Each Senator would cast one vote for Vice President. If the House of Representatives fails to elect a President by Inauguration Day, the Vice-President Elect serves as acting President until the deadlock is resolved in the House.

    http://www.archives.gov/federal-regi...faq.html#no270

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  • Half Pint John
    replied
    Originally posted by PhilipLaos View Post
    If the current RCP 'no toss ups' map were to be repeated on election day with the exception of Trump taking Delaware's 3 electoral college votes from Clinton, then the result would be:

    Clinton: 269 votes
    Trump: 269 votes.

    Nobody gets 270. Nobody wins. That would be most interesting.

    What would happen next? The House decides? Could they choose someone other than those two? Who would they choose?


    Philip
    Sarah P.?

    OMG,,Queenie take us forlorn children back

    Leave a comment:


  • slick_miester
    replied
    What was the last presidential election decided by the House: Rutherford B Hayes?

    Leave a comment:


  • PhilipLaos
    replied
    If the current RCP 'no toss ups' map were to be repeated on election day with the exception of Trump taking Delaware's 3 electoral college votes from Clinton, then the result would be:

    Clinton: 269 votes
    Trump: 269 votes.

    Nobody gets 270. Nobody wins. That would be most interesting.

    What would happen next? The House decides? Could they choose someone other than those two? Who would they choose?


    Philip

    Leave a comment:


  • The Doctor
    replied
    Originally posted by PhilipLaos View Post
    Today's RCP map shows that if the election were held today, the result would be:

    Clinton: 272 electoral college votes
    Trump: 266 electoral college votes.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo..._toss_ups.html

    Philip
    Who would have ever guessed it would be this close, the Friday before the first debate?

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...lebar&v=1#plus
    Attached Files

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  • PhilipLaos
    replied
    Today's RCP map shows that if the election were held today, the result would be:

    Clinton: 272 electoral college votes
    Trump: 266 electoral college votes.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo..._toss_ups.html

    Philip

    Leave a comment:


  • The Exorcist
    replied
    Originally posted by The Doctor View Post
    If the election were held today, most voters would be surprised...
    That actually covers it pretty well, as far as I am concerned.

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  • The Doctor
    replied
    Originally posted by T. A. Gardner View Post
    Worse, if Hillary gets pissed and starts shouting and lecturing him or utters another "What difference does it make?" or "Basket of deplorables" statement, she's finished.
    That isn't being sexist... It's being pragmatic based on history.

    The public won't like either lecturing the other but only Hillary is likely to do it. It's that arrogance of "I'm really smart and you're an idiot" that comes from the Left that will do her in.
    If that happens, we'll be partying like it's 1984...

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  • T. A. Gardner
    replied
    Originally posted by The Doctor View Post
    Not performing like an idiot will make him appear to be a genius.
    Worse, if Hillary gets pissed and starts shouting and lecturing him or utters another "What difference does it make?" or "Basket of deplorables" statement, she's finished.
    That isn't being sexist... It's being pragmatic based on history.

    The public won't like either lecturing the other but only Hillary is likely to do it. It's that arrogance of "I'm really smart and you're an idiot" that comes from the Left that will do her in.

    Leave a comment:


  • The Doctor
    replied
    Originally posted by PhilipLaos View Post
    If the debate goes like the recent semi-debate/town hall (and the primary debates), then he will indeed perform like an offensive idiot. However, the following days will then produce polls showing that the majority of viewers thought he won/performed better than his opponent/s.

    Performing like an idiot doesn't seem to hurt him at all.

    Philip
    Not performing like an idiot will make him appear to be a genius.

    Leave a comment:


  • PhilipLaos
    replied
    Originally posted by The Doctor View Post
    ... When he kicks her @$$ in Monday night's debate, his momentum will increase and he is unlikely to shift to a prevent defense as Romney did.

    The cool thing about sandbagging, is that in the public's eye, he can kick her @$$ just by not being an idiot.
    If the debate goes like the recent semi-debate/town hall (and the primary debates), then he will indeed perform like an offensive idiot. However, the following days will then produce polls showing that the majority of viewers thought he won/performed better than his opponent/s.

    Performing like an idiot doesn't seem to hurt him at all.


    Philip

    Leave a comment:

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