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NYT: Tied, Rasmussen: Trump +7

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  • The Doctor
    In a related story, Nate Silver is "freaking out"... And this was before today's poll releases.
    Election Update: When To Freak Out About Shocking New Polls
    Trump has gained in our forecasts on stronger swing state polling.

    By Nate Silver

    At 6 this morning, Quinnipiac University released a set of surveys of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania with the best polling news Donald Trump has gotten in a long time. In the version of the polls that includes third-party candidates — that’s the version FiveThirtyEight uses — Trump led Hillary Clinton by 5 percentage points in Florida, 1 percentage point in Ohio and 6 percentage points in Pennsylvania.

    The results run in contrast to the preponderance of national polls, which show Clinton ahead by roughly 5 percentage points, on average.


    Trump's 7-point lead in the Rasmussen poll is right in line with the Quinnipiac results.

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  • The Doctor
    started a topic NYT: Tied, Rasmussen: Trump +7

    NYT: Tied, Rasmussen: Trump +7

    Too fracking funny...

    White House Watch: Trump 44%, Clinton 37%

    Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump tied going into conventions - CBS/NYT poll

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