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  • Political risks of increased reliance on Brazil

    Interesting read.

    POLITICAL RISKS OF INCREASED RELIANCE ON
    DEFENSE IMPORTS FROM BRAZIL


    http://www.hudson.org/files/publicat...00%20FINAL.pdf

  • #2
    A couple of minor errors but interesting.

    IMO da Silva was interested less in promoting anti-US policies than in exploiting existing tensions to increase Brazil's status as an emerging power. Brazil really does not face a peer competitor in South America so it naturally is turning its attention outward. The authors may view this is meddling in US interests but to me it looks more like the friction of the new guy trying to assert himself among the big players.

    I take the view that becoming a customer for the major Brazilian arms manufacturer would increase our influence. Since we would not be procuring major weapons systems for American use, the risk seems reasonable and manageable.
    Any metaphor will tear if stretched over too much reality.

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    • #3
      The anti-American slant is old news. This will be recycled forever and ever and will ebb and flow depending on politics.

      What we should keep in mind, however, is how we in the US killed our own small aircraft industry through a history of litigation and environmental wackoism that continues to drive real industries out of the US. Recall that Los Angeles used to be the aircraft capital of the world. Cessna used to make the type of aircraft alluded to in the article, a variety of military training aircraft found in many Latin American countries that served as armed platforms. We have done this to ourselves by creating an effete class of men in this country who would rather get an MBA and sit in a comfy office than direct men on a factory floor to build real products.

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      • #4
        It should also be noted that Brazillian anti-american trends are of the soft kind, like the European version. Basicly, a lot of people may have opinions that put them under this label, but it is only a matter of opinions on history and someone elses foreign policy or society expressed in a manner that is strictly superficial and produces no direct results.
        This type of "do they hate us" polls need to be taken with carefull consideration. If you ask the Bush aproval ratings back in the day, with a yes or no question, a laid-back, perfectly peacefull and well-meaning university student with no strong political beliefs would say no, and so would a die-hard fanatic targeting US soldiers, yet they are very diferent things. Going by this one would end up thinking the hatred of the US is far more intense is peacefull Brazil than North Korea or Iran.

        I honestly believe this kind of "anti-americanism" is the stricly superficial, social one, the kind that does not affect business or security. The political stance is also more along the lines of stressing out Brazil will act internationally in an independent way, and showing the US they see themselves as players and do not expect to be dealt with by pressure. In short, it may make them politically unreliable, but I don't see any kind of economical or political warfare coming from there.

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