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  • Update 6/43

    The spring has arrived and the allies have launched a major offensive in the Balkans. Two German have been reduced (just rebuilt) with a third completely destroyed along with two Bulgarian infantry divisions.

    Political Points - 35

    Strategic Warfare

    U-Boat War Results: Normal; 1 U-boats lost, 2 received as replacements.

    Strategic Air War: Brussels, Lille and Cologne bombed; Brussels hit and out of action. No bombers lost, No Interceptor lost. Inteceptors - 10 west, 2 south, 4 East

    Tactical Air War

    German APs - 60 West, 10 South, 13 East.
    CW APs - 90 West, 57 South
    US APs - 64 West, 41 South
    Russian APs - 12 East

    __________________________________________________ _____________

    New Production 2 x 1-5-1 Static, 2 x 6-5 Infantry, 1 x 6-1-5 Arty, 1 Fort (Calais), 8 IRP, 2 MRP, 14 AP, 2 U-Boat.

    Area for concern The Balkans (Map 1). The allied attack has badly pushed in the left flank near Bulgarian-Greek border and two SS Pz Gr Divisions have intervened. Up north on the right flank the allies have opened a gap in the lines. Only late mud in IV/5/43 prevented a major breach. Currently three divisions from Italy are en route as well as both new 6-5 divisions. One new static division will be sent to southern France to free up a combat division there while the second 1-5-1 is sent to Brittany.

    In Italy (Map 2) the Hitler Line has been occupied and must be held to the last round. North of this position there is no other defensible terrain that the current force can man short of the Alps. The only reason this line should be abandoned is if the allies launch another outflanking amphibious assault against Genoa, Venice or Marseilles.

    Map 3 shows the current position of the western defences between Calais and Brest. The ports of Lorient, St Nazaire and Nantes (not shown) are each manned by a static division. Southern France has 2 x 6-5, 1 x 1-5-1 1 x 8-8 and 2 x 10-8.

    Intelligence Estimate - the Allies are bound to press the attack in the Balkans as they have the advantage of numbers. Where and when the allies will try their next amphibious assault remains to be seen bit it could occur anywhere the allied a/c have range to. There still appears to be a number of formation along the southern British coast concentrated in the ports.

    Recommendation - The current line in southern Yugoslavia cannot be maintained. It is recommended that the new divisiosn back up the Hungarian corps along the Sava River north-west of Beograd. These divisions should be reinforced by as much of the current right flank as can force march to those positions. The two uncommitted SS divisions should also be railed north to Beograd to act as a reserve and the other two SS divisions (16th and 17th SS Pz Gr) should be transferred there as well.

    The centre of the line should withdraw on the Danube between Beograd and Nis while the right flank and those divisions still facing the Turks (2 x 6-5, 2 x 1-5-1 and 3 x Bulg 2-4) form a dense front between Nis and Sofia with a refused left flank. The time may have arrived where Bulgaria and even Romanian may have to fight their own fight until they collapse.

    If Army Group South Ukraine can spare a Pz Corps (2 x 10-8 and an 8-8), the right flank and open Bulgarian plains may be denied to the allied forces for a few more months. However, as the Red Army has not moved it is difficult to gauge what level of troops might be available for transfer. another option is to risk the defence of southern France and transfer the panzer corps there to north-east Italy (Venice) and the corps near Venice to Bulgaria.

    OKW to advise.

    <<Map 1 - The Balkan front is in danger of collapse>>?



    <<Map 2 - The Italian front is stable at the moment>>



    <<Map 3 - The Western Front thickens slowly with new troops and the resumption of fortification construction>>

    Attached Files
    The Purist

    Words ought to be a little wild, for they are the assault of thoughts on the unthinking - John Maynard Keynes.

    Comment


    • Update 6/43 - Eastern Front

      Army Groups North and Centre are in place and their panzer reserves are back on station (Map 1). There is obviously some additional Red Army troop deployment behind the lines but no clear pattern has emerged. An attack here is just as likely as an attack anywhere else along the front.

      Army group North Ukraine on the other hand has seen a marked increase in the number of enemy troops deployed in the Pripyet Marshes (Map 2). As of this moment these consist of the lower echelon cavalry and infantry divisions but they are present in some numbers. With a few supporting corps the Red Army could attempt an attack in this sector. Further south the line is backed up by large army and SS pz reserves along with the artillery while the adjacent AG South Ukraine has five reserve infantry divisions.

      Army Group South Ukraine (Map 3) is occupying the line of the Ukrainian Bug river and the defences south to Odessa. Two army Pz Corps are in reserve along the Dnestr as well as two weak Romanian armoured divisions. Back in Romania (not shown) are two more Romanian infantry divisions plus a trio of Romanian cavalry divisions.

      Intelligence Estimate The Red Army is still dug in in many places and may be expecting an attack. Judging from the known enemy positions the Ukraine still appears to be the area of heaviest concentration. It makes sense that the Russians may launch an attack in concert with the allies in the Balkans but when is a very open question. There is also the possibility of spoiling or diversionary attacks prior to the main offensive. Finally, the rear of both AGs N Ukr and S Ukr will be exposed if the Balkan front collapses or is driven far to the north with the loss of Bulgaria and perhaps even Romania. Should be an interesting year.

      Recommendation Tough call. If too much strength is removed from the east the Red Army will surely breakthrough somewhere. The south-eastern part of Poland should be held at all costs in order to ensure an escape route should the Balkan situation become critical. Other than the Red Army has the initiative and the German army will have to respond to attacks as and when they come.

      Finally, there is fourth Artillery divisions now available for deployment.

      OKW to advise.

      <<Map 1 - Army Groups north and Centre, the front is quiet but some action is to be expected>>



      << Map 2 - Army Group North Ukraine is facing a stronger threat from the marches>>



      <<Map 3 - Army Group South Ukraine - If the Red Army is going to support the allied offensive in the Balkans the offensive will likely strike the Romanian section of the front>>

      Attached Files
      The Purist

      Words ought to be a little wild, for they are the assault of thoughts on the unthinking - John Maynard Keynes.

      Comment


      • Many thanks for posting all 3 maps, makes it MUCH easier to see the situation!

        See Social for fresh orders.

        Comment


        • Quickie Update II/6/43

          The Gawd's of war are fickle indeed.

          Just a quick update as the Red Army has launched its own attack against AG North in the Baltic States while the Allied attack in the Balkans pressed. Here the Gawd's decided to through a wrench into allied plans with a very late deluge of rain that will effectively bog their attacks for the next week.

          Map 1 - The Balkans - The allied attack pressed on but rather than trying to gain ground they turn east and struck the two German divisions at the end of the line. One was destroyed the other is reduced. Note the 14 divisions discussed earlier are arriving and will be ready to advance south and south-west as planned. The rain here has bought a week to better prepare for the counter attack. The attack could go in late in the month if the LW is transferred immediately. It will take one more week to concentrate the troops and probably two to advance to contact.



          Map 2 - AG North has absorbed a rather heavy attack by strong Russian forces but came off rather well. Some ground was lost and three divisions were reduced but they took five Rifle and two Tank Corps with them (losses = 18 German versus 36 Red Army strength points). No other attacks were made but looks like one of the Baltic ports in Lithuania has fallen to an airborne assault. The Red Army also advanced to occupy the space in front of AG Centre. No attacks in the Ukraine but the Red Army has some heavy units gathering opposite the Romanian sector of the front.

          A counter attack is not possible due to the mud but it should be possible to concentrate the local panzer reserve as well as begin the transfer any troops from the south that you may wish to send.

          Attached Files
          Last edited by The Purist; 07 Jul 10, 23:50.
          The Purist

          Words ought to be a little wild, for they are the assault of thoughts on the unthinking - John Maynard Keynes.

          Comment


          • Glad to hear my boys did so well!
            The Reds would have to be crazy to press the attack now, wouldn't they?

            Comment


            • With all those stacks in the backfeild they have I would not bet on it. It will cost them but they got more to lose than you I think.

              Comment


              • The numbers don't tell the whole tale, and such a favorable rate of exchange will only get better when they attack beyond their supply lines.

                Which is what is about to happen, just watch.

                Comment


                • Update 7/43 - A Bloody Spring

                  Overview

                  6/43 passed with major allied attacks in the Balkans, an offensive in Italy while The Red Army launched its own spring offensive in Latvia. German losses have been high in reduced divisions (9 in, 1 Pz , 1 Pz Gr) plus two more infantry totally destroyed. The Rumanian lost three infantry divisions and two armoured divisions. These axis troops did not go down meekly as both the US, CW, Red Army as well as the Turks all suffered their own fair share of losses.

                  Political Points - 33 (-1 for the loss of Minsk and Odessa)

                  Hungary Surrenders at 24 PP
                  Rumania surrenders at 29 PP
                  Bulgaria surrenders at 29 PP
                  Spain joins axis at 75 PP
                  Germany surrenders at 0 PP

                  Strategic Warfare

                  U-Boat War Results: Normal; 0 U-boats lost, 2 received as replacements. Now 31 U-Boat pts, 3 Surf pts. The U-boats has risen in strength enough to be back on the effective table and have a chance to delay allied reinforcements, however, allied ASW tech has also increased.

                  Strategic Air War: Lille, Dusseldorf and Cologne bombed; Dusseldorf' rail centre out of action. 2 bombers lost, 2 Interceptor lost. Inteceptors - 6 west, 0 south, 0 East

                  Tactical Air War

                  German APs - 38 West, 30 South, 30 East.
                  CW APs - 93 West, 67 South
                  US APs - 63 West, 51 South
                  Russian APs - 14 East

                  AP transfers to South Front for offensive still in progress. LW should be able to fly in II/7/43.
                  __________________________________________________ __________________

                  New Production 2 x 1-5-1 Static, 5- x 6-5 Infantry, 1 x 7-10 Motor, 8 IRP, 2 MRP, 1 Fort, 8 AP, 2 U-Boat

                  Breifing I the Western Front (Map 1) continues to receive light reinforcements in the way of additional static division to defend the Channel coast. Southern France has been reduced to a garrison of two infantry and two Static divisions. In Italy (map 2) the US and British troops have launched an attack that has crossed the river in western sector of the 10th Army. Tenth Army will now swing its main line back to Livorno and continue to resist the attacks while slowly retreating.

                  Area for concern - Similar to last month the Balkans is the major point of concern at the moment. The Allied attacks in south-west Yugoslavia (Map 3) have pushed east and then south-east around the Albanian mountains chewing up German infantry divisions as they advance. Each week either the Canadians or US troops attack supported by Turkish and Yugoslav divisions while the other rests. This way they have avoided some degree of fatigue. Other Allies infantry and armour have adopted a defensive stance to the north of these attacks in order to resist the German counterattack that has just made contact with the allied line.

                  On the German left, south of Sofia the British 9th Army and US 1st Army (Free French and US) supported by Turkish infantry have pushed heavily against the German lines in southern Yugoslavia and Bulgaria (Map 4). The extreme left on the coast has just been flanked by a small amphibious landing with infantry and light armour that has pushed back that sector of the line. These two small landings also pose direct threat to the German-Bulgarian forces in Turkish Thrace.

                  Intelligence Estimate

                  - It appears the Allied offensives are aimed primarily at Nis with the intent of pocketing the centre of the German line. The last two weeks of 6/43 saw heavy attacks and while the allies formations are likely to be suffering from fatigue the German infantry is also losing effectiveness in the defensive battles, although at a slower rate. Losses in the Italy and the Balkans are currently exceeding replacements but not by a large measure.

                  NB These losses have been nearly matched by those of the US, CW and Turks in a number full and 1/2 Exchanges.

                  Recommendation - It must again be stressed that the current line in southern Yugoslavia cannot be maintained. While the counterattack is carried out from the north it is requested that the centre be allowed to withdraw towards Nis while the left forms a right-hand fish hook defence in front of Sofia. The troops in Turkey should be withdrawn to form a screen defence of south central Bulgaria before they are isolated.

                  The new line would run from western Yugoslavia (the counterattack forces) to Nis and south to Sofia

                  OKW to advise.

                  <<Map 1 - The Western Front. Note* The Pz Corps from sothern France is now in NE Italy to replace the divisions there that were sent to Yugoslavia.>>



                  <<Map 2 - The line along the river held for a month but finally the front yielded. The retreat to Livorno is in progress.>>



                  <<Map 3 - As the Canadians push SE, the German counterattack begins to drive US and CW troops southward.>>



                  <<Map 4 - Despite a slow set-piece pace, the allied attacks in the south-east are grinding up the German units. A flanking amphib by Turkish infantry and CW armour has turned the end of the line in Greece.

                  Attached Files
                  Last edited by The Purist; 04 Jul 10, 21:14.
                  The Purist

                  Words ought to be a little wild, for they are the assault of thoughts on the unthinking - John Maynard Keynes.

                  Comment


                  • 7/43 Update - East Front

                    Army Group North managed to execute its withdrawal in relatively good order despite the late mud and a pursuit by Soviet armoured columns (Map 1). Iron crosses should go out to the IX Pz Corps (1st and 2nd Pz, 1st Pz Gr) for its delaying action that permitted all the infantry in AG N to escape. The retreat since I/6/43 has bought three weeks of no losses to both AG North and AG Centre. The retreat has had an effect on many of the infantry formation from both army groups as well as IX Pz Corps and fatigue will reduce their effectiveness for the next couple of weeks.

                    The Red Army has managed to convert two rail hexes to Minsk, two from Dvinsk and only 1 from Riga. Since the Red Army has a supply limit of six MP, the Red Army can be expected to resume its offensive in the north very shortly, sooner if they have deployed MSUs.

                    The situation in the Pripyet Marshes (Map 2) has not changed that much as the Red Army simply followed the German retreat. No heavy Russian units have been identified but some armour is operating along the northern fringes of the swamps. For the most part the swamp and adjacent forests are quiet.

                    Down in the Ukraine the Red Army launch a series of set piece attacks against Romanian positions (Map 3). Losses here were exchanged but not much ground has been lost, although Odessa fell. The fighting has drawn in both of AG South Ukraine's Pz corps and two mech divisions are currently out of the line refitting. It is intended to counterattack again and the transfer of one or two of the SS Pz Corps from AG North Ukraine is requested (four SS Pz and 1 SS Pz Gr division in total). This will leave AGNU with two army and 1 SS Pz Corps in it reserve.

                    Area of Concern - It is expected that the Red Army will strike AG North and perhaps part of AG centre in the Kovno-Vilna area in order to attempt to drive in behind AG Centre. This area seems most likely as the Soviet supply lines had less distance to cover due to AG Centre's shallow retreat. AG North may also attacks along its defensive line along Neiman River.

                    Recommendation - If the attack in AGNU's area is not successful the line should retreat over the Dnestr River. Likewise, if AG Centre's left flank is pushed in near Vilna, it should retreat towards Grodno. It may be worthwhile to transfer one additional army Pz Corps from AG North Ukraine to AG Centre.

                    Note on losses in 6/43 in Russia - as discussed previously, notes were taken on losses. In the past month the Red Army suffered the reduction of 6 Rifle corps, 2 Tank Corps, 2 Mech Corps (58 strength points). German and Romanian losses amounted to 3 German (reduced) and 3 Romanian (destroyed) infantry divisions, 1 Pz and 1 Pz Gr divisions reduced and 2 Romanian Armoured divisions destroyed (44 strength points).

                    <<Map 1 - AG North and Centre arrive in their new positions. The new 1-5-1 in Koningsberg is intended to move NE to back up the infantry defended narrows. Perhaps the Wehrkries in Konigsberg should be disbanded and the 6-3 security division deployed forward>>



                    <<Map 2 - The Red Army follows up the German and Hungarian retreat>>



                    <<Map 3 - The Red Army assaults in the south appear designed to pin reserves. The current melee is primarily between the armoured forces of both combatants with infantry playing a supporting role.>>

                    Attached Files
                    Last edited by The Purist; 05 Jul 10, 11:06.
                    The Purist

                    Words ought to be a little wild, for they are the assault of thoughts on the unthinking - John Maynard Keynes.

                    Comment


                    • From what I can see, it looks as if AG North abandoned Kovno without a fight, instead of using it as a strong-point as directed.

                      Comment


                      • Wrong side of the river. It would have taken three divisions to hold the "elbow" that Kovno would be and it can be attacked from three hexes. Considering the strength of the last Russian offensive, the city would fall and the divisions shattered and forced to retreat.

                        As you can see, there are not enough divisions to do so. By stepping back over the river, the attacker's attack strength is halved (or the defender doubled,... depending on how you want to look at it). All 14 infantry divisions of AG North made it back but they are holding 8 hexes (the last shared with AG Centre). You'll also note that the Pz Corps is also in the line to strengthen the defence.

                        While the line is not impervious to attack the Russians are more likely to force a "retreat" result than score an "exchange". This way the fight for the river line will lessen the casualty rate until the Red Army has managed to establish a number of supporting bridgeheads.

                        How does OKW want to distribute the new divisions?

                        Do you want to transfer the requested pz forces to the respective sectors (AG North and AGSU) or should AGSU withdraw to the Dnestr?
                        Last edited by The Purist; 06 Jul 10, 09:52.
                        The Purist

                        Words ought to be a little wild, for they are the assault of thoughts on the unthinking - John Maynard Keynes.

                        Comment


                        • An observers question:

                          If I am reading the map correctly NW of Kovno, then a retreat behind the river line will result in Soviet forces on German territory - does this have a significant political impact?

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Aber View Post
                            An observers question:

                            If I am reading the map correctly NW of Kovno, then a retreat behind the river line will result in Soviet forces on German territory - does this have a significant political impact?
                            no
                            Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it whether it exists or not, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedy. -- Ernest Benn

                            Comment


                            • Short Update - Brittany

                              As noted in the public forum the allies have thrown a force ashore in Brittany. This looks like "the" invasion. The composition is curious, there are four British and two US infantry divisions, two British armoured divisions, two British armoured and one infantry brigade. They did not land with a mass of full divisions. They were supported by a US airborne division (82nd). They did not land with a mass of full divisions so they may have reached their strength limit for the moment. However, it does appear to be a few more divisions in London waiting to cross. At the moment the landing have pocketed 3 Static and 1 Infantry division while a large amount of air interdiction will make movement to Brittany difficult.

                              In the immediate future it is recommended that the divisions in the pocket occupy the two ports and hold to the last man. At the same time the two Pz Corps (4 Pz and 2 Pz Gr divisions) and four 7-10 motor divisions should move as quickly as possible to the front near St Malo on the right flank. Other that what is seen there are only two additional leg infantry divisions near the Belgian border and Calais, the remaining forces are all Static divisions.

                              The allies have used their amphib capacity for the next few months ( only enough lift for one additional division) so it should be safe to leave the Static divisions to guard the ports and move all the combat divisions to Brittany. Unfortunately this is a new front opened for the army to deal with and the only strategic reserve are the parachute and air landing divisions ( 2 and 1 respectively). These can be transferred from the east and be in France within 3 or 4 weeks.



                              In other news the Red Army has attacked again the north with supporting attacks against the left wing of AG Centre. The attacks hit Neiman River line as well as the flanks of the city positions near Kovno and Vilna. The forces north of the marshes will be counterattacking the penetrations in order to maintain the current line. [Losses: 3 infantry divisions reduced in exchange for four Russian rifle corps]

                              In the Balkans the Allies have pushed forward again but their attack seems to be winding down for the moment or they are shifting troops to meet the counterattack in Bosnia. Hard to tell at the moment. The offensive continues on the right while the centre continues to withdraw on the Beograd-Nis- Sofia line. [Losses: two infantry divisions reduced and one cadre destroyed. Allied lost two divisions reduced]
                              Attached Files
                              Last edited by The Purist; 15 Jul 10, 23:27.
                              The Purist

                              Words ought to be a little wild, for they are the assault of thoughts on the unthinking - John Maynard Keynes.

                              Comment


                              • 8/43 Update - Summer, Bloody Summer

                                Overview

                                7/43 passed with continued but weakening allied attacks in the Balkans, a minor advance in Italy and the Allied landing British and American forces in Brittany. In the east the Red Army launched further heavy assaults in the Baltic states and East Prussia while German and Red Army forces exchanged honours in a series of battles in the south Ulkraine. German losses have again been high but losses were equally high amongst the western Allies and the Red Army. None of the three alliances can easily maintain the loss ratio suffered in 7/43. Armies will grow progressively weaker.

                                German losses: 2 x 6-5 destroyed, 4 x 1-5-1 destroyed, 2 x 2-4 Hun destroyed, 15 x 6-5 reduced, 1 x 1-5-1 reduced, 1 x 3-3 Cav reduced, 1 x 8-8 reduced. Reduced divisions are being rebuilt as IRP/MRPs allow.

                                West Allied losses: 2 CW 8-10 reduced, 2 CW 9-8 reduced, 1 CW 3-8 destroyed, 1 US 8-10 reduced, 1 Fr 8-10 reduced, 3 Tur 2-5-1 reduced.

                                Red Army losses: 1 9-6 reduced, 3 8-6 reduced, 7 5-5 reduced, 6 4-4 reduced, 1 2-5 destroyed

                                Political Points - 33 (-1 for the loss of Minsk and Odessa)

                                Hungary Surrenders at 24 PP
                                Rumania surrenders at 29 PP
                                Bulgaria surrenders at 29 PP
                                Spain joins axis at 75 PP
                                Germany surrenders at 0 PP

                                Strategic Warfare

                                U-Boat War Results: Normal; 3 U-boats lost, 2 received as replacements. Now 30 U-Boat pts, 3 Surf pts.

                                Strategic Air War: Stuttgart, Cologne, Dusseldorf, Essen and Regensburg were all hit; no repairs made. 1 bombers lost, 1 Interceptor lost. Inteceptors - 8 west, 0 south, 0 East.

                                Tactical Air War

                                German APs - 15 West, 32 South, 32 East.
                                CW APs - 98 West, 65 South
                                US APs - 75 West, 54 South
                                Russian APs - 16 East

                                AP transfers to South Front for offensive were completed and the APs have fought for three weeks in support of Balkan ground attacks. However, losses are unsustainable if a large interceptor force is to be built up to protect the factories. Recommend returning bulk of LW from south to west front to oppose bomber attacks.
                                __________________________________________________ __________________

                                New Production 7 x 6-5 Infantry, 1 x 7-5 para (rebuild), 8 IRP, 2 MRP, 1 Fort, 9 AP, 2 U-Boat, 1 Fort

                                West and Balkans

                                Briefing The fighting in Brittany (Map 1) saw the loss of 3 of the 1-5-1s and 1 of the 6-5 infantry divisions that were destroyed last month. The good news is that their loss allowed the bulk of the mobile reserves in France and others from northern Italy to arrive and begin counterattacking. Within two weeks there will be four Pz Corps in the west but more infantry is needed. It is suggested that at all the parachute formation (3 x 7-5 and 1 x 4-5) plus two of the new 6-5 divisions be sent west to back up the armour. Allied air interdiction is making movement very challenging.

                                Down in Italy (map 2) the front has stabilised but allied armour has been withdrawn from the line. These units may be resting or redeploying to other fronts, time will tell. The Italian theatre has been stripped to the minimum along the coast as far as Marseilles. If the allies resume their drive in Italy a retreat to the Alps may be necessary.

                                In Yugoslavia (map 3) the German offensive has wound down and the armour is redeploying west and south. However, theses divisions are heavily fatigued and need a few weeks rest before attacking again. It is planned to rest in the centre of the front while the infantry from the south continue to redeploy north and balance the front. The armour will then slip southward to attempt to counterattack allied forces in Bulgaria (Map 4). As in France, the allied air power is making life miserable for the ground troops. A number of allied armoured divisions and all the French units have vanished from the front. They would either be resting, or redeploying.

                                <<The Battle of Brittany - The panzers make headway against allied divisions>>



                                <<Italian Front - Quiet for the moment>>



                                << Army Groups A and B have brought the Allied drive to a halt for the moment while the centre of the line near Beograd firms ups>>



                                <<In Bulgaria both sides are making use of relatively light forces. Very little drama>>

                                Attached Files
                                Last edited by The Purist; 30 Jul 10, 18:10.
                                The Purist

                                Words ought to be a little wild, for they are the assault of thoughts on the unthinking - John Maynard Keynes.

                                Comment

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